Middle of the tightly packed simple and corrected consensus models The new NHC track forecast is essentially on top ofĪnd just an update of the previous advisory track, and lies near the Which should allow Felicia to move more westward in the 24-120-hourįorecast period. Global and regional models all show the ridge relaxing somewhat, Moving west-southwestward for the next 12-24 h. Ridging to the north of the hurricane is expected to keep Felicia Slightly degraded aforementioned convective features.įelicia is moving west-southwestward or 255/07 kt. On a blend of the various satellite intensity estimates and the The initial intensity is raised toġ10 kt, and just below category 4 strength, for this advisory based Intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB were a consensus T6.0/115 ktĪnd objective estimates from UW-CIMSS ADT over the past couple of Inner core convection a little less organized. Several hours, and a 1022Z ATMS microwave satellite pass showed the Surrounding the eye have warmed by almost 10 deg C during the past Morning with a well-defined, warm (>15C) clear eye now evident in Interests in the Hawaii should monitor Felicia's progress closely over the weekend.Compact Hurricane Felicia has continued to rapidly strengthen this created the movie that clearly shows Felicia as a powerful Category Four hurricane with a very visible eye. NASA's GOES Project, located at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Md. 7 from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES-11) were put together as a movie. NASA also creates imagery from a satellite operated by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and created a movie of Hurricane Felicia's track through the Eastern Pacific Ocean. The colder the clouds are, the higher they are, and the more powerful the thunderstorms are that make up the cyclone. Infrared imagery shows the temperature of the cloud tops which gives a hint about the power of the thunderstorms in a tropical cyclone. EDT showing a tight circular shape, indicating she's still a powerful hurricane.ĪIRS provides visible, infrared and microwave images of tropical storms. In addition, vertical wind shear (winds that can weaken and tear a storm apart) will increase from the west.ĪIRS captured an infrared image of Hurricane Felicia tracking through the Eastern Pacific Ocean on August 7 at 6:59 a.m. Hurricanes need warm waters of at least 80 degrees Fahrenheit to maintain strength. Over the weekend as Felicia continues her track toward Hawaii, she's running into cooler waters that will continue sapping her strength. Rising air pressure means a weakening storm, and that's good news for the big island of Hawaii. Her minimum central pressure continues rising and is currently 973 millibars. 10 Felicia will be a tropical storm.įelicia is moving west-northwest near 13 mph and will turn toward the west over the weekend. Additional weakening is expected over the weekend, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are forecasting that by Monday, Aug. Hawaiian Time), Felicia had weakened from a Category four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale to a Category two hurricane with sustained winds near 100 mph. NASA satellite imagery has helped forecasters see that Hurricane Felicia is running into cooler waters and increasing wind shear, two things have taken her strength "down a peg or two." Felicia will continue to weaken further over the weekend as she heads to Hawaii where landfall isn't expected until late Monday or early Tuesday.īy Friday, Aug. Tropical Storm Enrique was northeast of Felicia. It clearly showed Felicia's eye when she was a Category 4 hurricane. Image: NASA's GOES Project created a movie of Hurricane Felicia's track (bottom left corner) through the Eastern Pacific Ocean from Aug.
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